Erick in the Eastern Pacific is expected to strengthen quickly and form a hurricane to Mexico

Mexico is preparing for the hurricane of the fifth-place storm Erick in the Eastern Pacific, which is likely to be rapidly strengthened before landing.

Although the Atlantic Ocean has been calm, the Eastern Pacific has started quickly. The fifth storm of the season is historically July 23, based on the 1991-2020 average, so Erick's arrival is more than a month ahead of schedule.

forecast

-Alerts: Hurricane warning and hand performance has been issued to the southwest coast of Mexico. As shown in the image above, these alerts now extend to the west of the Acapulco area.

-timing: Erick is organizing a few hundred miles south of Mexico and usually tracking the Northwest. The road will allow heavy rain and strong winds to spread throughout Oaxaca and eastern Guerrero in late Wednesday or early Thursday. The peak impact is expected on Thursday in most of Mexico's southwestern coast. The rain belt has already rotated in eastern Mexico, Guatemala and parts of El Salvador.

-strength: Warm waters, favorable upper winds and moisture favor Erick intensified before the expected Mexican strike. Rapid reinforcement may be possible, and the National Hurricane Center expects Erick to be at least Class 2 of the coast. It has the potential to be a stronger category.

– Trendy tracks, wind influence: The relatively parallel paths of Erick related to the Mexican coastline make it difficult to determine the exact location of the login. This makes a difference when it comes to which locations will see the worst impact of storm surges and wind damage in parts of Oaxaca and Guerrero. Overall, these threats will be the biggest threats near and east on the central shore (most likely east of Acapulco).

–Threats of wider rain: The forecast is that the largest 8 to 16 inches in Oaxaca and Guerrero are up to 20 inches. Life-threatening flash floods may be possible, and mudslides are a threat to the mountainous areas near the coast.

Chris Dolce Weather.com has been a senior digital meteorologist at Weather.com since he began his career at Weather Channel in the early 2000s.