Canada announced it would re-tune its immigration strategy, but a widely shared chart is said to depict a significant increase in newcomers in 2025 misunderstanding goals and how to calculate data. The Canadian Bureau of Statistics said the chart was inaccurate and its data actually showed that international net migration was declining over the past year.
“I still can't overcome this picture. Canada is intentionally destroyed,” said the text of the post on June 25, 2025. The chart allegedly shows the international net immigration levels in Canada from 1952 to 2025, depicting relatively stable interest rates, and then almost exponentially increased after 2021.
The image spread online in June on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube and X, where controversial influencers Mario Nawfal and News Congregator Visegrád24 frequently posted error messages.
Screenshot of X post published on July 2, 2025
With housing shortages and job opportunities intensifying anxiety in recent years, Canada’s years-long pro-migration consensus has broken down as some believe more new immigrants contribute to scarcity.
Although it's certain Analyst It said employers are taking advantage of the temporary foreign workers program, immigration officials warned that Canada is introducing more immigrants, and AFP still frequently reveals rumors, misleading rumors claiming that the system helps newcomers get jobs, food aid and social benefits from citizens.
These concerns are accompanied by the increased speed of newcomers recorded in the country, but the graphs seen in social media posts exaggerate the phenomenon.
The text claims that the graphs in the image are from Statistics Canada dataset “Estimates of the Components of International Migration, Quarterly” (archived here).
But the government's Statistics Bureau told AFP that the chart does not match its data.
“This number is not an accurate picture of the Canadian migration model,” Statistics Canada said in an email on June 27.
The origin of the chart
The charts in circulation for June are credited to the account “@financelot” (archived here), which is a chart with the striking May 31st addition to X. After the topic of this post, here is another graphic, the time is “@alymerth” (archived here), depicting a smaller extreme increase to 10/10/2023 posted on 8/10/2024, in 8/2024.
Screenshot of X post published on July 2, 2025
Emond said Statistics Canada is uncertain about the source of the numbers in the chart, but @Alymerth claimed in the post that they used code to scratch the “components of international migration” datasets and create the charts.
Statistics Canada datasets are divided into departure and arrival categories such as immigration, immigrants or permanent residents – and inflows and outflows of non-permanent residents, including anyone with a work or study permit. @alymerth's code seems to get the representation of departure and subtract their category sum from all arrivals category.
However, Emond said the equation for calculating the recent net migration should use the inflow outflow using the “net non-permanent residents” category. Only from the end of 2021, data breaks the breeding and action of non-permanent residents.
Comparing @alymerth's formula with Statistics Canada's formula produced similar results for high net international immigration in 2023, but the X user equation also led to growth in 2020. The recipe from government agencies showed that many people showed it back then when the coronavirus pandemic Pactic Pocimic (archived here).
Statistics Canada merged data from the “International Migration Component” into its own graph, breaking it down by quarter, again showing a net decrease in 2020 and adding between 2021 and 2023 (archived here).
Screenshot of the Canadian Statistics Dashboard was taken on July 2, 2025
Reduced after 2023
Unlike social media posts in June, it is said that international net immigration is said to be said to exceed 2.5 million per year by 2025, and Statistics Canada’s representative of its latest immigration data actually shows that the decline in the category has declined after reaching its peak in the third quarter of 2023.
Screenshot of the Canadian Statistics Dashboard was taken on July 2, 2025
Steep chart An increase appears To display 2.5 million data points of @alymerth's chart in response to the recently elected Canadian government Proposed immigration Target.
Canada's latest immigration level program (archived here) says the government intends to allow about 2.8 million people to enter, but this is in years between 2025 and 2027, not 2025.
Pure wildLevels may be further reduce By allowing the number of non-permanent residents who leave when expiration is allowed – this number is not known or reflected on social media.
The Canadian government announced a reduction in its immigration targets by late 2024.
According to Canadian statistics, the country has the lowest net migration levels in the last quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025 (archived here).
Read more reports on AFP Canada error information here.
